Islamabad — Pakistan has witnessed a significant 17% drop in terror attacks since its border closure with Afghanistan in October 2025, according to a newly released security report that highlights the impact of tightened border controls on cross-border militancy.
Data from the Centre for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) shows that the October closure of key crossings such as Torkham and Chaman was followed by a 9% dip in terror incidents in November and an even stronger 17% decline in December, compared with the months before the border was sealed. Civilian and security personnel fatalities linked to terrorist violence also decreased last quarter, falling by nearly 4% in November and 19% in December, indicating a measurable improvement in national security.
Security experts linking recent trends to operational shifts and policy changes suggest that tighter controls curtailed terror groups’ ability to launch attacks from Afghan soil. Islamabad’s firm stance echoes broader strategic concerns that Afghan territory was being exploited as a staging ground for militants, as noted in various analyses of militant group activity near the Durand Line.
In a reflection of ongoing challenges, Pakistan’s military leadership has repeatedly warned that Afghan soil must not be used for terrorism against Pakistan. In late 2025, top army officials underscored the need to prevent militant sanctuaries in neighboring territory while still pushing for peace and stability.
The report comes amid broader security developments, including heightened counterterrorism operations along the frontier and diplomatic efforts to maintain ceasefires with Afghan counterparts. For additional context on related security warnings and policy responses from Islamabad, see how PM Shehbaz Sharif emphasized the threat of Afghan soil being used for terrorism in recent statements.
While 2025 overall remains one of the most violent years in recent memory, with continued militant activity in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, the 17% drop in terror attacks following the border closure reflects a notable shift in the short-term security landscape.
