Pakistan’s journey to the Super 8 stage of the T20 World Cup 2024 is facing a critical juncture, compounded by the unpredictable weather in Florida, where their decisive final group match against Ireland is set for June 16. The team, led by Babar Azam, has secured only one victory in three games, triumphing over Canada after defeats by the United States and India. Now, they need to not only win against Ireland but also rely on favorable outcomes in other matches to advance.
The weather forecast for Lauderhill, Florida, is not promising, with heavy rainfall anticipated. This poses a significant threat to Pakistan’s campaign. The recent match between Sri Lanka and Nepal on June 11 was entirely washed out, and similar thunderstorms are expected over the coming days. There is a high 91% chance of rain during the USA vs Ireland match on June 14, which could result in the game being abandoned. If this happens, the USA would earn a crucial point, thereby securing their qualification and eliminating Pakistan from the tournament.
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The weather forecast for Pakistan’s match against Ireland on June 16 indicates a 47% chance of rain, further adding to the uncertainty. For Pakistan to keep their hopes alive, the following sequence of results is essential:
- June 12: USA must lose to India.
- June 14: Ireland must defeat the USA.
- June 15: India must beat Canada.
- June 16: Pakistan must beat Ireland.
Even if these results occur, Pakistan and the USA could still be tied on points, making the net run rate the crucial tiebreaker. Therefore, Pakistan would need to secure a substantial victory over Ireland while hoping that the USA suffers heavy defeats to both India and Ireland.
Pakistan’s situation became precarious after unexpected losses to the USA and India. The victory over Canada on June 11 provided a lifeline, but the looming threat of rain in Florida jeopardizes their chances of progressing to the Super 8 stage. For the 2009 champions, the next few days will be tense, with their fate hanging in the balance and heavily influenced by both match outcomes and the weather.
