The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has predicted a more active rain pattern over the next three months, with western and northwestern regions expected to receive the heaviest precipitation. The forecast indicates a busier late-winter to early-spring period, particularly for lower Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Kashmir, northern Balochistan, and western Punjab.
According to PMD’s seasonal outlook, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal in western and central Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and northern to central Balochistan. These areas could experience more frequent and intense rain spells, affecting agriculture, water reservoirs, and daily life. Citizens in these regions have been advised to stay alert to changing weather conditions.
In contrast, PMD expects rainfall in Gilgit-Baltistan, Sindh, and southern Balochistan to remain close to seasonal norms. Northern Gilgit-Baltistan, in particular, is likely to receive comparatively less rain during the same period. The department emphasized that local variations may occur due to microclimates in mountainous and coastal regions.
The forecast is based on a combined assessment of eight global seasonal prediction models. PMD noted that major climate drivers, including the Indian Ocean Dipole, are expected to remain neutral, while ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) is projected to shift from marginally negative to neutral. This suggests no extreme climate events are anticipated to dominate the season.
Alongside rainfall predictions, PMD also warned of above-normal temperatures across the country, with the strongest warming expected over northern areas. Officials cautioned that March and April could still bring early heatwave risks during dry spells, urging residents and farmers to take necessary precautions.
The seasonal outlook aims to provide advance guidance to authorities, farmers, and the general public for planning water resources, agriculture, and disaster preparedness. PMD stressed that while heavy rainfall could benefit reservoirs and crops, localized flooding and road disruptions may occur in vulnerable areas.
Also read: PMD Predicts Countrywide Rainfall Beginning from Tomorrow
